The Alpha Paradox

Newsletter August 2016

August 15, 2016 It might come as a surprise to investors that the S&P has just logged its fifth consecutive monthly rise.  The index rose over 3.6% in July, its best performance since March, on the back of better than expected second quarter corporate earnings and an ebbing of fears of fallout from the BREXIT...
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Newsletter June 2016

June 3, 2016 Last month saw the second quarter launch on a positive note, which fizzled as the month ended, and May saw the opposite effect.  A subdued and gloomy first half was salvaged by a more resilient second half and the month was modestly positive in the end.  The USD reversed course again to strengthen,...
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Newsletter May 2016

May 6, 2016 The second quarter kicked off on a positive note with April initially building on March’s momentum.  The month ended on a bit of whimper, however, as investors fretted about the outlook for earnings and concerns regarding defaults mounted.  Overall, though, markets were remarkably resilient in the face of enduring macro noise and uncertainty,...
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Newsletter April 2016

Spring in the air March saw a welcome continuation of February’s positive momentum, and Emerging Markets were the most obvious beneficiaries.  We enter the second quarter with significantly modified rate rise expectations, particularly in the US, a USD currency whose ascent may have run out of steam, a stabilizing oil price and the first green shoots...
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Newsletter March 2016

March 4, 2016 Fighting fire with fire The month of January was one of the worst months for trading since 2008, and February offered some modest reprieve, although after shocks continued to shake market confidence. In China, markets took a pause at the beginning of the month to welcome the year of the Red Fire Money, and...
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Private Equity – The Sleeping Giant

March 2, 2016 In recent months public market volatility has dominated investor discourse, as capital has fled from riskier assets and investors have sought safe havens. Private equity continues to quietly grow, however. Year end statistics from Preqin state that private capital assets grew by close to 5% during the six months since December 2014 and...
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More attrition in the land of funds of hedge funds – what is sustainable?

February 26, 2016 This week there was news that Carlyle had, after just over two years, decided to shutter its DGAM Fund of Hedge Fund Unit.  The enterprise had been added to the Carlyle multi-asset stable in November 2013 in order to add fund of hedge funds to the existing offerings within real estate and private equity....
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Ever more “opportunistic” in the search for return

February 12, 2016 We read this week that South Carolina had restructured its asset allocation to introduce new categories of asset classes in a drive towards more diversification.  The $28.2 bn public fund has added new asset classes to its target allocation including portable alpha; equity options; infrastructure; real estate investment trusts; commodity trading adviser/managed futures...
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EM: the epicenter of investor angst

February 12, 2016 As emerging markets lagged developed markets yet again in 2015, the outflow figures were staggering.  According to research of Capital Economics, investors pulled $270 billion from emerging markets last quarter that surpassed withdrawals during the financial crisis of 2008. China led the outflows, with about $159 billion pulled out of its economy in...
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